Tennis · M15 Turku · 15/08, 12:00

Prediction: Amit Vales vs Oskari Paldanius

Team pages: Amit Vales · Oskari Paldanius

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Amit Vales Oskari Paldanius
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Amit Vales 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWLL
Oskari Paldanius 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amit Vales 1550 · Oskari Paldanius 1557
Amit ValesOskari Paldanius
Our model49%51%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Amit Vales makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Amit ValesOskari Paldanius
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.5-0.9
Games (G-P)12.5-9.712.5-10.9
Aces1.71.5
Double faults41.5
1st serve %65.1%63.2%
Break %48.3%58.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amit Vales

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Arvid Nordquist
M15 Turku
2-1 13-11 W
13/08 Dimitris Azoidis
M15 Turku
2-1 18-11 W
12/08 Vesa Ahti
M15 Turku
2-1 16-11 W
11/08 Zach Stephens
M15 Turku
2-0 12-4 W
05/08 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
04/08 Alex Martinez
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
03/08 S D Prajwal Dev
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
02/08 Kristjan Tamm
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/07 Johan Nikles
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
20/07 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Oskari Paldanius

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Oscar Weightman
M15 Turku
2-1 13-12 W
13/08 Andrea Bacaloni
M15 Turku
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Turku
2-0 13-9 W
03/08 Ergi Kirkin
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
02/08 Leo Raquillet
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
21/07 Franco Roncadelli
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
18/07 Max Wiskandt
M25 Kramsach
0-2 8-13 L
17/07 Theo Papamalamis
M25 Kramsach
2-1 14-13 W
16/07 Andrej Martin
M25 Kramsach
2-0 12-8 W
15/07 Daniel Tazabekov
M25 Kramsach
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amit Vales vs Oskari Paldanius?

Our model gives 52% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.