Tennis · W15 Campos do Jordao · 11/08, 19:30

Prediction: Agustina Soto Neira vs Luiza Fullana

Team pages: Agustina Soto Neira · Luiza Fullana

Prediction summary
Winner
23% 77%
Agustina Soto Neira Luiza Fullana
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Agustina Soto Neira 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLLL
Luiza Fullana 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Agustina Soto Neira 1454 · Luiza Fullana 1527
Agustina Soto NeiraLuiza Fullana
Our model40%60%
Market9%91%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luiza Fullana (rating 1454 vs 1527).
  • Luiza Fullana is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Agustina Soto NeiraLuiza Fullana
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.51.3-1.1
Games (G-P)7.4-9.811.5-9.6
Aces0.12.5
Double faults3.13.4
1st serve %53.8%62.5%
Break %55.2%50.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Agustina Soto Neira

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Mika Buchnik
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
23/07 Fernanda Torres Gomez
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
14/07 Francesca Mattioli
W35 Sao Paulo
0-2 3-12 L
13/07 Luana Plaza
W35 Sao Paulo
2-1 9-7 W
08/07 Isabella Barrera Aguirre
W15 Rio Claro
1-2 10-13 L
07/07 Daniela Teodoro Souza
W15 Rio Claro
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Noelia Zeballos
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
22/06 Juliana Rodriguez
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
W15 Luque · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
15/06 Ana Julieta Lopez Ocampos
W15 Luque · ~Clay
1-2 10-9 L

Luiza Fullana

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Pietra Rivoli
W75 Vacaria
1-2 11-16 L
15/07 Luciana Moyano
W35 Sao Paulo
0-2 9-13 L
11/07 Marjorie Souza
W15 Rio Claro
0-2 7-12 L
10/07 Isabella Barrera Aguirre
W15 Rio Claro
2-1 16-11 W
09/07 Laura Badia
W15 Rio Claro
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Josefina Estevez
W15 Rio Claro
2-0 12-3 W
12/06 Carolina Alves
W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
11/06 Marjorie Souza
W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
11/06 Chiara Di Genova
W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
07/06 Marjorie Souza
W15 Brasilia
2-1 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Agustina Soto Neira vs Luiza Fullana?

Our model gives 77% to Luiza Fullana, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.