Tennis · W15 Campos do Jordao · 12/08, 15:00
Prediction: Camila Markus vs Laura Badia
Team pages: Laura Badia
Prediction summary
Winner
Camila Markus
Laura Badia
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Camila Markus
2-8 (W-L)
Laura Badia
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Camila Markus 1408 · Laura Badia 1527
| Camila Markus | Laura Badia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Badia (rating 1408 vs 1527).
- Laura Badia is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Camila Markus makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Camila Markus | Laura Badia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-11.2 | 8.9-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 51.6% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Camila Markus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Paula Cembranos W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Francesca Mattioli W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/03 | Madison Sieg W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Sara Dols W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Sofia Magali Barreto Scholz W15 Santiago |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/01 | Victoria Bosio W35 Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Caira Delfina Vega Gudino W35 Buenos Aires |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/01 | Luciana Agudelo W50 Buenos Aires |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/12 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano UTR Pro Buenos Aires Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Laura Badia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Luiza Fullana W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Bruna Melato W15 Rio Claro |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Gabriella Mikaul W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Luana Avelar W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Noelia Zeballos W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Rebeca Pereira W15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/03 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 24/03 | Pilar Beveraggi Lespiau W15 Santiago |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/03 | Florencia Massardo Brain W15 Santiago |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Camila Markus vs Laura Badia?
Our model gives 71% to Laura Badia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.