Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 12/08, 10:00
Prediction: Nicola Senn vs Luca Staeheli
Team pages: Nicola Senn · Luca Staeheli
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicola Senn
Luca Staeheli
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nicola Senn
5-5 (W-L)
Luca Staeheli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicola Senn 1490 · Luca Staeheli 1520
| Nicola Senn | Luca Staeheli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nicola Senn | Luca Staeheli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.6 | 11.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 70% |
| Break % | 29.1% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicola Senn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Noah Karma M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Lenny Petit M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Yanis Peterhans M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Gregoire Delattre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 14/06 | Batiste Guerra M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mak Mikovic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 02/06 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
Luca Staeheli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dennis Andre Dutine M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Matyas Kozlovsky M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Courtney John Lock Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicola Senn vs Luca Staeheli?
Our model gives 71% to Luca Staeheli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.