Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 11/08, 12:00
Prediction: Matteo Covato vs Adrien Berrut
Team pages: Matteo Covato · Adrien Berrut
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Covato
Adrien Berrut
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Covato
1-9 (W-L)
Adrien Berrut
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Covato 1383 · Adrien Berrut 1546
| Matteo Covato | Adrien Berrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrien Berrut (rating 1383 vs 1546).
- Adrien Berrut is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matteo Covato | Adrien Berrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-2 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.5-12.4 | 10.8-7.7 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 21.7% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Covato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Joshua Peck M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oliver Sanders M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Justin Schlageter M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Richard Antoni M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Dylan Salton M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Stefan Storch M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Adrien Berrut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Facundo Yunis M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Michalis Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Mathys Domenc M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Antonin Witz M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Antoine Walch M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Zaccharie Cado M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Ander Tarrio Ponte UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Carl Holder UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Adrien Burdet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Covato vs Adrien Berrut?
Our model gives 78% to Adrien Berrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.