Tennis · W35 Aldershot · 11/08, 14:00

Prediction: Yuno Kitahara vs Alana Smith

Team pages: Yuno Kitahara · Alana Smith

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Yuno Kitahara Alana Smith
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yuno Kitahara 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWLL
Alana Smith 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuno Kitahara 1486 · Alana Smith 1501
Yuno KitaharaAlana Smith
Our model48%52%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yuno KitaharaAlana Smith
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (8) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.2-1
Games (G-P)9.7-11.110.7-10.1
Aces0.52.7
Double faults22.8
1st serve %56.9%68.8%
Break %41.3%48.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuno Kitahara

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
30/07 Vaidehee Chaudhari
W35 Aldershot
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Denise Valente
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Thasaporn Naklo
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
20/06 Haruka Kaji
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/06 Thasaporn Naklo
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
18/06 Fang An Lin
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Natsumi Kawaguchi
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
12/06 Hikaru Sato
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
11/06 Sae Noguchi
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W

Alana Smith

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/08 Yue Yuan
WTA Warsaw · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/08 Daria Gorska
WTA Warsaw · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
26/07 Daria Kasatkina
WTA Washington · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
25/07 Lea Ma
WTA Washington · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 Kylie Collins
WTA Newport · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
05/07 Sydney Jara
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
30/06 Sofia Johnson
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/06 Anna Frey
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
15/06 Valentina Ryser
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
1-2 17-14 L
14/06 Min Liu
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuno Kitahara vs Alana Smith?

Our model gives 66% to Alana Smith, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.