Tennis · W35 Aldershot · 12/08, 12:30

Prediction: Alana Smith vs Ayla Aksu

Team pages: Alana Smith · Ayla Aksu

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Alana Smith Ayla Aksu
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alana Smith 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWLWWWLW
Ayla Aksu 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alana Smith 1493 · Ayla Aksu 1502
Alana SmithAyla Aksu
Our model49%51%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Alana SmithAyla Aksu
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.3-1
Games (G-P)10.8-10.210.9-11.2
Aces2.91.5
Double faults33
1st serve %68.8%61.3%
Break %43.8%54.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alana Smith

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Yuno Kitahara
W35 Aldershot
2-0 13-7 W
03/08 Yue Yuan
WTA Warsaw · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/08 Daria Gorska
WTA Warsaw · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
26/07 Daria Kasatkina
WTA Washington · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
25/07 Lea Ma
WTA Washington · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 Kylie Collins
WTA Newport · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
05/07 Sydney Jara
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
30/06 Sofia Johnson
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/06 Anna Frey
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
15/06 Valentina Ryser
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
1-2 17-14 L

Ayla Aksu

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W35 Aldershot
2-1 15-14 W
22/07 Daria Snigur
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Prague · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
19/07 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
18/07 Viktoria Morvayova
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Vendula Valdmannova
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 5-13 L
27/06 Elena Micic
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
1-1 8-9 L
26/06 Anna Kubareva
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
25/06 Celia Cervino Ruiz
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
24/06 Esther Lopez Alcaraz
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alana Smith vs Ayla Aksu?

Our model gives 60% to Ayla Aksu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.