Tennis · W35 Aldershot · 11/08, 11:00
Prediction: Mary Lewis vs Mimi Xu
Team pages: Mary Lewis · Mimi Xu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Lewis
Mimi Xu
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Lewis
5-5 (W-L)
Mimi Xu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Lewis 1503 · Mimi Xu 1438
| Mary Lewis | Mimi Xu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Lewis (rating 1503 vs 1438).
- Mary Lewis is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Mary Lewis makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Mimi Xu makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Mary Lewis | Mimi Xu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-9.8 | 9.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 52.2% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Lewis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Mia Wainwright W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Ekua Youri W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Momoko Kobori WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Ana Grubor W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Savannah Broadus W35 Rome |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Amelie Van Impe W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Brandy Walker W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/03 | Ioana Teodora Sava W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mimi Xu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Katja Wiersholm W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Eva Lopez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/01 | Erika Andreeva W100 Fujairah |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Mai Hontama W75 Manama |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/12 | Martyna Kubka ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Jana Fett ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Lewis vs Mimi Xu?
Our model gives 65% to Mimi Xu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.