Tennis · W35 Aldershot · 11/08, 13:30

Prediction: Eliz Maloney vs Alice Gillan

Team pages: Eliz Maloney · Alice Gillan

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Eliz Maloney Alice Gillan
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Eliz Maloney 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWWLWW
Alice Gillan 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWWW
Head-to-head
Eliz Maloney 6–4 Alice Gillan (10 last)
  • 05 Oct1-2 13-19L
  • 15 Apr2-0 12-8W
  • 11 Jan2-0 12-5W
  • 09 May0-2 5-12L
  • 06 Apr2-1 21-15W
  • 13 Nov2-0 13-8W
  • 29 Aug0-2 11-14L
  • 28 Apr2-1 19-12W

Showing the 8 with a final score we have.

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eliz Maloney 1546 · Alice Gillan 1474
Eliz MaloneyAlice Gillan
Our model60%40%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eliz Maloney (rating 1546 vs 1474).
  • Eliz Maloney is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Eliz Maloney 6–4 Alice Gillan (10).

Statistics

Eliz MaloneyAlice Gillan
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.60.9-1.2
Games (G-P)11.1-7.29.1-9.9
Aces1.60.3
Double faults2.21.7
1st serve %68%56.6%
Break %53.2%53.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.4

H2H · Eliz Maloney 64 Alice Gillan (10)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eliz Maloney 64 Alice Gillan

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/10/23
UK Pro League Women
1-213-19L
15/04/23
UK Pro League Women
2-012-8W
11/01/23
ITF W25 Loughborough
2-012-5W
09/05/22
ITF W25 Nottingham
0-25-12L
06/04/22
UK Pro League Women
2-121-15W
13/11/21
UK Pro League Women
2-013-8W
29/08/21
UK Pro League Women
0-211-14L
28/04/21
UK Pro League Women
2-119-12W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eliz Maloney

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/08 Savannah Dada Mascoll
W35 Aldershot
2-0 14-10 W
09/08 Lois Newberry
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-1 W
06/08 Ella Mcdonald
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
05/08 Mimi Xu
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/08 Mao Mushika
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
02/08 Sophie Bekker
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
29/07 Amelia Rajecki
W50 Dublin
0-2 7-12 L
27/07 Laura Cilekova
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-4 W
26/07 Chloe Collins
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-0 W
14/07 Naiktha Bains
W50 Nottingham
0-2 8-13 L

Alice Gillan

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/08 Jasmine Conway
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-8 W
09/08 Jaquelyn Ogunwale
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-5 W
03/08 Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
1-2 6-10 L
02/08 Katarina Kujovic
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Monika Ekstrand
W35 Aldershot
0-2 10-13 L
15/07 Naiktha Bains
W50 Nottingham
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Karla Popovic
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-7 W
09/06 Manon Leonard
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
02/06 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
23/05 Alicia Dudeney
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eliz Maloney vs Alice Gillan?

Our model gives 59% to Eliz Maloney, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.