Tennis · M15 Warsaw · 12/08, 10:00
Prediction: Yassine Smiej vs Preston Brown
Team pages: Yassine Smiej · Preston Brown
Prediction summary
Winner
Yassine Smiej
Preston Brown
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yassine Smiej
3-7 (W-L)
Preston Brown
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yassine Smiej 1442 · Preston Brown 1498
| Yassine Smiej | Preston Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Preston Brown (rating 1442 vs 1498).
- Note: Yassine Smiej makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Yassine Smiej | Preston Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.8 | 10.5-9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yassine Smiej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Tom Zeuch M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Seydina Andre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Eero Vasa M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Reda Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nathan Walters M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Preston Brown
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Oliver Sanders M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Gray Voelzke M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Lance A L Castelan M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/07 | Orel Kimhi M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Giovanni Ciocca M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/07 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yassine Smiej vs Preston Brown?
Our model gives 58% to Preston Brown, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.