Tennis · M15 Targu Jiu · 11/08, 08:30
Prediction: Giovanni Ciocca vs Carles Rojas
Team pages: Giovanni Ciocca · Carles Rojas
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Ciocca
Carles Rojas
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Ciocca
4-6 (W-L)
Carles Rojas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Ciocca 1434 · Carles Rojas 1482
| Giovanni Ciocca | Carles Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carles Rojas (rating 1434 vs 1482).
Statistics
| Giovanni Ciocca | Carles Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.1 | 8.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Ciocca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Fermin Tenti M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Jose Murariu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Preston Brown M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Udit Kamboj M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 11/05 | James Hart M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/05 | Tom Zeuch M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 06/05 | Stefan Storch M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Carles Rojas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Nicolas Robert M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Matei Sucu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Batiste Guerra M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Isaac Becroft M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Vasco L Prata M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Rafael Ymer M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Ciocca vs Carles Rojas?
Our model gives 53% to Carles Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.