Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 10/08, 13:30
Prediction: Leo Lagarrigue vs Andrin Casanova
Team pages: Leo Lagarrigue
Prediction summary
Winner
Leo Lagarrigue
Andrin Casanova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Lagarrigue
3-7 (W-L)
Andrin Casanova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Lagarrigue 1470 · Andrin Casanova 1512
| Leo Lagarrigue | Andrin Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrin Casanova (rating 1470 vs 1512).
Statistics
| Leo Lagarrigue | Andrin Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11 | 11.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 30.2% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Lagarrigue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Mateja Stanisavljevic M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Alessio Basile M15 Eupen |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Felix Romeo M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Daniel Domingos M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 07/04 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/03 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Andrin Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Erwin Troebinger M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Gregoire Delattre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-8 | L |
| 22/06 | Yannic Nittmann M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Pedro Sakamoto M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Robin Boeckli M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Lars Aregger M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Alexander Weis M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Marko Retelj M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Lagarrigue vs Andrin Casanova?
Our model gives 53% to Andrin Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.