Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 10/08, 13:30
Prediction: Nicolas Parizzia vs Justin Lenders
Team pages: Nicolas Parizzia · Justin Lenders
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Parizzia
Justin Lenders
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Parizzia
4-6 (W-L)
Justin Lenders
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolas Parizzia
0–1
Justin Lenders
(1 last)
- 15 Jun0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Parizzia 1508 · Justin Lenders 1486
| Nicolas Parizzia | Justin Lenders | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nicolas Parizzia 0–1 Justin Lenders (1).
Statistics
| Nicolas Parizzia | Justin Lenders | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.2 | 8.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Nicolas Parizzia 0 – 1 Justin Lenders (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolas Parizzia 0–1 Justin Lenders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/25 M25 Klosters | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Parizzia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Luca Parenti M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 16/07 | Tomas Lanik M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Justin Lenders
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Mateo Fluri M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Florent Bax M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Paul Theate M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Timeo Trufelli M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Felix Romeo M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Axel Huysmans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Gian Gruenig M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Liam Branger M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/03 | Hamish Stewart M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 11/02 | Thomas Faurel M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Parizzia vs Justin Lenders?
Our model gives 68% to Nicolas Parizzia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.