Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Petr Nesterov
Team pages: Dimitris Sakellaridis · Petr Nesterov
Prediction summary
Winner
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Petr Nesterov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitris Sakellaridis
6-4 (W-L)
Petr Nesterov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dimitris Sakellaridis
0–1
Petr Nesterov
(1 last)
- 12 Oct0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dimitris Sakellaridis 1519 · Petr Nesterov 1595
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petr Nesterov (rating 1519 vs 1595).
- Head-to-head: Dimitris Sakellaridis 0–1 Petr Nesterov (1).
Statistics
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.2 | 12.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Dimitris Sakellaridis 0 – 1 Petr Nesterov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dimitris Sakellaridis 0–1 Petr Nesterov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/25 Challenger Hersonissos Qual | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dimitris Sakellaridis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Radovan Michalik M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Petr Nesterov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Eero Vasa M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Karl Friberg M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Ole Bredschneijder M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Lewie Lane M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Petr Nesterov?
Our model gives 75% to Petr Nesterov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.