Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 11/08, 10:00

Prediction: Calvin Mueller vs Justin Schlageter

Team pages: Calvin Mueller · Justin Schlageter

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Calvin Mueller Justin Schlageter
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Mueller 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLW
Justin Schlageter 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Calvin Mueller 1498 · Justin Schlageter 1478
Calvin MuellerJustin Schlageter
Our model53%47%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Justin Schlageter dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 40.1% break avg.

Statistics

Calvin MuellerJustin Schlageter
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.1-1.4
Games (G-P)10.4-11.712.6-12.4
Aces1.16.2
Double faults0.73
1st serve %60%72.6%
Break %43.1%40.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Calvin Mueller

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Daniel Siniakov
M25 Kassel
1-2 10-17 L
02/07 Saba Purtseladze
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
30/06 Imanol Lopez Morillo
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Johan Oscar Lien
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
05/06 Dylan Dietrich
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
0-2 3-11 L
04/06 Gregor Hausberger
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
04/06 Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
30/05 Tito Chavez
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/05 Giuseppe La Vela
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
28/05 Maximilian Figl
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W

Justin Schlageter

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Fano
0-2 9-13 L
22/07 Patrick Zahraj
M25 Metzingen
1-2 16-14 L
21/07 Noah Schlagenhauf
M25 Metzingen
2-1 11-12 W
15/07 Johan Oscar Lien
M15 Uslar
1-2 14-15 L
08/07 Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Kassel
0-2 12-14 L
07/07 Felix Einig
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-7 W
02/07 Jonathan Mridha
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
1-2 13-14 L
01/07 Matteo Covato
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 11-5 W
18/06 Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
17/06 Patrick Zahraj
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 18-17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Calvin Mueller vs Justin Schlageter?

Our model gives 51% to Calvin Mueller, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.