Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Arthur Nagel vs Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
Team pages: Arthur Nagel
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Nagel
Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Nagel
7-3 (W-L)
Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Nagel 1563 · Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg 1509
| Arthur Nagel | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Nagel (rating 1563 vs 1509).
Statistics
| Arthur Nagel | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.6 | 12.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Nagel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Eupen |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 05/08 | Harold Huens M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/08 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Tristan Berard M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Liam Branger M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Maxime Chazal M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Mae Malige M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Tristan Berard M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/05 | Leo Lagarrigue M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03 | Flynn Thomas M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/02 | Mirza Basic Challenger Lugano · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/02 | Jeremy Schifris M15 The Hague |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/01 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/01 | Ali Habib M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/01 | James Van Herzeele M15 Hyderabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/01 | Felix Balshaw M15 Hyderabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Johan Nikles M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/10 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Reece Falck M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Nagel vs Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg?
Our model gives 70% to Arthur Nagel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.