Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 10/08, 12:00
Prediction: Leonardo Borrelli vs Adrien Burdet
Team pages: Leonardo Borrelli · Adrien Burdet
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Borrelli
Adrien Burdet
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Borrelli
4-6 (W-L)
Adrien Burdet
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Borrelli 1471 · Adrien Burdet 1530
| Leonardo Borrelli | Adrien Burdet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrien Burdet (rating 1471 vs 1530).
- Note: Leonardo Borrelli makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Adrien Burdet makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Leonardo Borrelli | Adrien Burdet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.2 | 10-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Borrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Nico Sommer M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Moritz Kolbe M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Adrien Burdet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Laurin Aerne M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Christian Djonov M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Andrej Martin M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Adrien Berrut M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Leandro Zgraggen M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Elias Sumann M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Noah Lopez M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Borrelli vs Adrien Burdet?
Our model gives 54% to Adrien Burdet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.