Prediction: Arda Azkara vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Arda Azkara · Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Arda Azkara
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Arda Azkara
3-7 (W-L)
Pavlos Tsitsipas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arda Azkara 1438 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1533
| Arda Azkara | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavlos Tsitsipas (rating 1438 vs 1533).
- Pavlos Tsitsipas dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 53.6% break avg.
- Pavlos Tsitsipas is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Arda Azkara | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.8 | 13.5-12.8 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 19.8% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arda Azkara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 04/08 | Dominik Palan M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Roan Jones M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James McGloughlin M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Rodrigo Leal M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Vasco L Prata M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arda Azkara vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 57% to Arda Azkara, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.