Tennis · M15 Turku · 11/08, 09:00

Prediction: Amit Vales vs Zach Stephens

Team pages: Amit Vales

Prediction summary
Winner
78% 22%
Amit Vales Zach Stephens
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Amit Vales 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLWL
Zach Stephens 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amit Vales 1512 · Zach Stephens 1426
Amit ValesZach Stephens
Our model62%38%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amit Vales (rating 1512 vs 1426).
  • Amit Vales is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Amit Vales makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Amit ValesZach Stephens
Win %50%20%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.5-1.6
Games (G-P)10.6-107.3-11.7
Aces2.21.6
Double faults4.72.9
1st serve %65.4%58%
Break %42%51.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amit Vales

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
04/08 Alex Martinez
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
03/08 S D Prajwal Dev
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
02/08 Kristjan Tamm
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/07 Johan Nikles
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
20/07 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
19/07 Andrin Casanova
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
12/07 Ryan Nijboer
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
09/07 Henry Searle
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Marcus Walters
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-3 W

Zach Stephens

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/08 Oscar Brown
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/08 Max Benaim
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
29/07 Michael Agwi
M15 Dublin
0-2 3-12 L
21/07 Alexandre Reco
M15 Rognac
0-2 6-13 L
15/07 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
05/07 Dinko Dinev
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 17-19 L
01/07 Clement Lemire
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
23/06 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Tiago Torres
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
15/06 Guilherme Valdoleiros
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amit Vales vs Zach Stephens?

Our model gives 78% to Amit Vales, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.