Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 11/08, 17:30
Prediction: Audrey Aulia vs Ariana Gilbert
Team pages: Audrey Aulia · Ariana Gilbert
Prediction summary
Winner
Audrey Aulia
Ariana Gilbert
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Audrey Aulia
6-4 (W-L)
Ariana Gilbert
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Audrey Aulia 1558 · Ariana Gilbert 1451
| Audrey Aulia | Ariana Gilbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Audrey Aulia (rating 1558 vs 1451).
- Audrey Aulia is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Audrey Aulia makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Ariana Gilbert makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Audrey Aulia | Ariana Gilbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.5 | 9.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audrey Aulia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Mia Robinson UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 16/07 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Bianca Ceroni UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Gabrielle Guenther UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Ariana Gilbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Anna Arkadianou UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Aryana Bartlett UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez W35 Rome |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Serafima Elizarova UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Violeta Martinez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Audrey Aulia vs Ariana Gilbert?
Our model gives 65% to Audrey Aulia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.