Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 11/08, 17:30
Prediction: Mary Boyce Deatherage vs Brooke Lynn Schafer
Team pages: Mary Boyce Deatherage · Brooke Lynn Schafer
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Brooke Lynn Schafer
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Boyce Deatherage
7-3 (W-L)
Brooke Lynn Schafer
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Boyce Deatherage 1587 · Brooke Lynn Schafer 1490
| Mary Boyce Deatherage | Brooke Lynn Schafer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Boyce Deatherage (rating 1587 vs 1490).
- Mary Boyce Deatherage is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Brooke Lynn Schafer makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Mary Boyce Deatherage | Brooke Lynn Schafer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9 | 9.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Amara Brahmbhatt UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Katie Spencer UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Brooke Lynn Schafer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Marina Davtyan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Cara Maria Mester UTR Pro Champaign Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/10 | Alina Vysochenko UTR Pro Champaign Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Champaign Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Ekaterina Ivanova UTR Pro Champaign Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Rose Seccia UTR Pro Champaign Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Boyce Deatherage vs Brooke Lynn Schafer?
Our model gives 73% to Mary Boyce Deatherage, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.