Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 11/08, 22:00
Prediction: Riley Crowder vs Lexie Weir
Team pages: Riley Crowder · Lexie Weir
Prediction summary
Winner
Riley Crowder
Lexie Weir
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Riley Crowder
4-6 (W-L)
Lexie Weir
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riley Crowder 1494 · Lexie Weir 1587
| Riley Crowder | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexie Weir (rating 1494 vs 1587).
- Lexie Weir is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Riley Crowder makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Riley Crowder | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.8 | 11.4-8.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 44% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riley Crowder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Eunhye Lee W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Alana Boyce UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 21/07 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Elle Warren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Mackenzie Clark UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lucia Donnelly UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Kathryn Wilson UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Jenelle Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riley Crowder vs Lexie Weir?
Our model gives 60% to Lexie Weir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.