Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 11/08, 20:30
Prediction: Ava Esposito Cogan vs Sabritt Dozier
Team pages: Ava Esposito Cogan · Sabritt Dozier
Prediction summary
Winner
Ava Esposito Cogan
Sabritt Dozier
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ava Esposito Cogan
8-2 (W-L)
Sabritt Dozier
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ava Esposito Cogan 1611 · Sabritt Dozier 1567
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Sabritt Dozier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ava Esposito Cogan (rating 1611 vs 1567).
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Sabritt Dozier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-7.8 | 12-9.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Ireland O'Brien UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Hayley Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sabritt Dozier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Gabriella Goyins UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Alana Boyce UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Anna Arkadianou UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Emily Meng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/07 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ava Esposito Cogan vs Sabritt Dozier?
Our model gives 71% to Ava Esposito Cogan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.