Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 09/08, 14:30
Prediction: Leo Lagarrigue vs Mateja Stanisavljevic
Team pages: Leo Lagarrigue · Mateja Stanisavljevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Leo Lagarrigue
Mateja Stanisavljevic
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Lagarrigue
3-7 (W-L)
Mateja Stanisavljevic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Lagarrigue 1475 · Mateja Stanisavljevic 1467
| Leo Lagarrigue | Mateja Stanisavljevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Leo Lagarrigue | Mateja Stanisavljevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.9 | 9.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 27.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Lagarrigue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Alessio Basile M15 Eupen |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Felix Romeo M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Daniel Domingos M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 07/04 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/03 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Mika Brunold M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Mateja Stanisavljevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Sammy Guinau M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Pranav Karthik M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Milan Ristov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 13/05 | Rocco Valente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Sam Bird M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/05 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 05/05 | Valentin De Carvalho M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/03 | Alberto Morolli M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Lagarrigue vs Mateja Stanisavljevic?
Our model gives 57% to Leo Lagarrigue, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.