Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 09/08, 11:30
Prediction: Laurin Aerne vs Adrien Burdet
Team pages: Laurin Aerne · Adrien Burdet
Prediction summary
Winner
Laurin Aerne
Adrien Burdet
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Laurin Aerne
2-8 (W-L)
Adrien Burdet
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laurin Aerne 1414 · Adrien Burdet 1530
| Laurin Aerne | Adrien Burdet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrien Burdet (rating 1414 vs 1530).
- Adrien Burdet is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Adrien Burdet makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Laurin Aerne | Adrien Burdet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.6 | 9.3-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laurin Aerne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Andre Meinertz M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 15/07 | Mathys Picard M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Mathys Picard M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Antoine Mayoral M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Nicholas David Ionel M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 02/03 | Erwin Troebinger M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/02 | Alfie King M25 Sheffield |
1-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 18/11 | Arjun Mehrotra ITF M15 Kuala Lumpur · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/11 | Yuta Kawahashi ITF M15 Kuala Lumpur · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta ITF M15 Kuala Lumpur · Hard |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
Adrien Burdet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Christian Djonov M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Andrej Martin M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Adrien Berrut M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Leandro Zgraggen M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Elias Sumann M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Noah Lopez M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 30/04 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laurin Aerne vs Adrien Burdet?
Our model gives 75% to Adrien Burdet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.