Tennis · W35 Southaven · 06/08, 19:00
Prediction: Gloriana Nahum vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Team pages: Gloriana Nahum · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Prediction summary
Winner
Gloriana Nahum
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gloriana Nahum
7-3 (W-L)
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gloriana Nahum 1601 · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 1503
| Gloriana Nahum | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gloriana Nahum (rating 1601 vs 1503).
- Gloriana Nahum is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gloriana Nahum | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-5.7 | 11.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gloriana Nahum
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Sophie Williams W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Natalie Outcalt UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Claire An UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/07 | Kira Matushkina UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Letizia Corsini UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Kenna Erickson UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Victoria Rodriguez W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Florence |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Florence |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Mayu Crossley W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Jade Otway W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Nicole Weng W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Ena Koike W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gloriana Nahum vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon?
Our model gives 55% to Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.