Tennis · W35 Southaven · 07/08, 17:30

Prediction: Carson Tanguilig vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon

Team pages: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Carson Tanguilig Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Carson Tanguilig 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWLWLLL
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carson Tanguilig 1577 · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 1524
Carson TanguiligAnne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Our model58%42%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carson Tanguilig (rating 1577 vs 1524).

Statistics

Carson TanguiligAnne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.4-0.9
Games (G-P)12.4-9.311.4-10.9
Aces1.51.3
Double faults1.73.7
1st serve %60.2%61.2%
Break %49.2%47%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carson Tanguilig

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Aran Teixido Garcia
W35 Southaven
2-1 18-10 W
06/08 Alina Shcherbinina
W35 Southaven
2-1 18-12 W
21/05 Savannah Broadus
W50 Pelham · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
20/05 Carolyn Ansari
W50 Pelham · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
10/05 Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
W35 Boca Raton
0-2 8-12 L
09/05 Luna Maria Cinalli
W35 Boca Raton
2-1 15-11 W
08/05 Sofia Rocchetti
W35 Boca Raton
2-0 12-7 W
07/05 Annika Penickova
W35 Boca Raton
2-0 13-7 W
06/05 Gergana Topalova
W35 Boca Raton
2-0 12-3 W
05/05 Jaedan Brown
W35 Boca Raton
1-1 9-7 W

Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Gloriana Nahum
W35 Southaven
2-0 12-6 W
05/08 Victoria Rodriguez
W35 Southaven
2-0 14-12 W
30/07 Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
W35 Florence
0-2 3-12 L
29/07 Anita Sahdiieva
W35 Florence
2-1 15-13 W
21/07 Mayu Crossley
W35 Santa Fe
1-2 12-17 L
02/07 Alina Shcherbinina
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
02/07 Jade Otway
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Alexis Nguyen
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L
25/06 Brandelyn Fulgenzi
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
23/06 Nicole Weng
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carson Tanguilig vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon?

Our model gives 53% to Carson Tanguilig, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.