Tennis · M25 Southaven · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Patrick Maloney vs Johannus Monday
Team pages: Patrick Maloney · Johannus Monday
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Maloney
Johannus Monday
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Maloney
7-3 (W-L)
Johannus Monday
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Maloney 1489 · Johannus Monday 1565
| Patrick Maloney | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johannus Monday (rating 1489 vs 1565).
Statistics
| Patrick Maloney | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.6 | 12.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 74% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Maloney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Tygen Goldammer M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Las Vegas · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Johannus Monday
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | William Nolan M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Keaton Hance M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Maloney vs Johannus Monday?
Our model gives 64% to Johannus Monday, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.