Tennis · M25 Southaven · 07/08, 16:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Patrick Maloney
Team pages: Evan Zhu · Patrick Maloney
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Patrick Maloney
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Patrick Maloney
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Evan Zhu
1–0
Patrick Maloney
(1 last)
- 20 Jul2-1 16-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1536 · Patrick Maloney 1486
| Evan Zhu | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1536 vs 1486).
- Head-to-head: Evan Zhu 1–0 Patrick Maloney (1).
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.4 | 11.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 50% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Evan Zhu 1 – 0 Patrick Maloney (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Evan Zhu 1–0 Patrick Maloney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/26 Challenger Bloomfield Hills | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Cooper Woestendick M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Joshua Peck M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Samir Banerjee Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Yassine Dlimi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Patrick Maloney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Tygen Goldammer M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Las Vegas · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Patrick Maloney?
Our model gives 54% to Patrick Maloney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.