Tennis · M25 Londrina · 06/08, 16:00

Prediction: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl

Team pages: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves · Joao Eduardo Schiessl

Prediction summary

Winner

71% 29%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Joao Eduardo Schiessl

Estimated games

20.9

Recent form · 10 last

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 9-1 (W-L)

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Joao Eduardo Schiessl 5-5 (W-L)

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Head-to-head

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1–1 Joao Eduardo Schiessl (2 last)

22 Jul2-0 12-3W
03 Mar0-2 12-14L

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1577 · Joao Eduardo Schiessl 1489

	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Our model	62%	38%
Market	78%	22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (rating 1577 vs 1489).
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Win %	90%	40%
Win % · Clay	67% (3)	33% (6)
Sets (G-P)	1.9-0.3	0.9-1.3
Games (G-P)	13-8.4	8.8-9.8
Aces	3.6	1.2
Double faults	0.8	2
1st serve %	70.1%	56.5%
Break %	53.5%	35.2%

Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

H2H · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1 – 1 Joao Eduardo Schiessl (2)

Odds Bet365

11.20

24.33

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	2
06:07 +26’	1.20	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1–1 Joao Eduardo Schiessl

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Date	Sets	Games	Res.
22/07/26 M25 Sao Paulo	2-0	12-3	W
03/03/26 Challenger Brasilia	0-2	12-14	L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
05/08	Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M25 Londrina	2-0	13-10	W
04/08	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Londrina	2-0	12-8	W
26/07	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo	2-0	12-7	W
25/07	Lucas Andrade da Silva M25 Sao Paulo	2-0	13-9	W
24/07	Matias Soto M25 Sao Paulo	2-0	12-3	W
23/07	Bastian Malla M25 Sao Paulo	2-1	16-15	W
22/07	Joao Eduardo Schiessl M25 Sao Paulo	2-0	12-3	W
08/07	Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay	1-2	16-17	L
07/07	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Bogota · Clay	2-0	12-7	W
06/07	Brandon Perez Challenger Bogota · Clay	2-0	12-5	W

Joao Eduardo Schiessl

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
05/08	Pedro Dietrich M25 Londrina	2-1	16-10	W
04/08	Nicolas Villalon M25 Londrina	2-0	12-5	W
29/07	Benjamin Torrealba M15 Sao Paulo	0-2	9-13	L
22/07	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo	0-2	3-12	L
08/05	Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santos · Clay	0-2	4-12	L
07/05	Ryan Dickerson Challenger Santos · Clay	2-0	12-5	W
06/05	Gustavo Albieri Challenger Santos · Clay	2-0	12-2	W
06/04	Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Campinas · Clay	0-2	8-12	L
31/03	Johan Nikles Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay	1-2	9-15	L
24/03	Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay	0-2	3-12	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl?

Our model gives 71% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.