Tennis · M25 Londrina · 06/08, 15:00

Prediction: Juan Estevez vs Juan Sebastian Osorio

Team pages: Juan Estevez · Juan Sebastian Osorio

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Juan Estevez Juan Sebastian Osorio
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Estevez 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLLWLW
Juan Sebastian Osorio 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juan Estevez 1551 · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1501
Juan EstevezJuan Sebastian Osorio
Our model57%43%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Estevez (rating 1551 vs 1501).

Statistics

Juan EstevezJuan Sebastian Osorio
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.3-1.4
Games (G-P)11.3-8.712.9-12.5
Aces13.5
Double faults2.23.8
1st serve %62.7%66.7%
Break %55.2%41.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juan Estevez

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M25 Londrina
2-0 12-2 W
24/07 Lucas Andrade da Silva
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 4-12 L
23/07 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 15-11 W
22/07 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 16-10 W
17/07 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Villa Constitucion
1-2 10-15 L
15/07 Felipe Pagnacco
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Segundo Goity Zapico
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-1 14-10 W
12/07 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 5-12 L
11/07 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 13-10 W
10/07 Felipe De Dios
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 12-0 W

Juan Sebastian Osorio

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Rafael Tosetto
M25 Londrina
2-1 17-11 W
30/07 Wilson Leite
M15 Sao Paulo
1-2 14-17 L
28/07 Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
M15 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo
1-2 14-16 L
07/07 Matias Soto
Challenger Bogota · Clay
1-2 10-15 L
03/07 Hernan Casanova
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
01/07 Matias Soto
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
30/06 Peter Bertran
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
29/06 Alejandro Hayen
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
12/06 Nicolas Oliveira
M15 Brasilia
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juan Estevez vs Juan Sebastian Osorio?

Our model gives 70% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.