Tennis · M25 Southaven · 06/08, 16:00

Prediction: Maximus Dussault vs Maxwell Exsted

Team pages: Maximus Dussault · Maxwell Exsted

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Maximus Dussault Maxwell Exsted
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maximus Dussault 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWWLLW
Maxwell Exsted 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maximus Dussault 1531 · Maxwell Exsted 1510
Maximus DussaultMaxwell Exsted
Our model53%47%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Maximus DussaultMaxwell Exsted
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.3-10.89.9-10.4
Aces4.31.3
Double faults2.91.6
1st serve %72.2%64.8%
Break %37.9%44.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maximus Dussault

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Brandon Carpico
M25 Southaven
2-0 14-12 W
28/07 Nikita Filin
M25 Edwardsville
1-2 11-12 L
17/07 Ozan Baris
M25 Louisville
0-2 7-12 L
16/07 Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Louisville
2-0 13-8 W
15/07 Jon Gamble
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-8 W
14/07 Zachery Foster
M25 Louisville
2-0 13-6 W
08/07 Trevor Svajda
M25 Dallas
1-2 12-17 L
07/07 Mitchell Sheldon
M25 Dallas
2-0 11-7 W
19/06 Gavin Young
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 Ozan Baris
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-1 12-13 W

Maxwell Exsted

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Quinn Vandecasteele
M25 Southaven
2-1 14-14 W
31/07 Ozan Baris
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 4-12 L
30/07 Samir Banerjee
M25 Edwardsville
1-0 8-6 W
29/07 Sebastian Gorzny
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 8-1 W
02/07 Bryce Nakashima
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
01/07 Benjamin Berger
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Lorenzo Claverie
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
24/06 Matt Kuhar
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
12/06 Alexander Rozin
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
11/06 Theodore Dean
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
2-1 18-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maximus Dussault vs Maxwell Exsted?

Our model gives 51% to Maximus Dussault, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.