Tennis · M25 Southaven · 05/08, 16:00
Prediction: William Nolan vs Johannus Monday
Team pages: William Nolan · Johannus Monday
Prediction summary
Winner
William Nolan
Johannus Monday
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
William Nolan
2-8 (W-L)
Johannus Monday
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
William Nolan
0–1
Johannus Monday
(1 last)
- 12 Aug0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · William Nolan 1505 · Johannus Monday 1563
| William Nolan | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johannus Monday (rating 1505 vs 1563).
- Johannus Monday dominates on serve: 6 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: William Nolan 0–1 Johannus Monday (1).
Statistics
| William Nolan | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.2 | 12.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · William Nolan 0 – 1 Johannus Monday (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · William Nolan 0–1 Johannus Monday
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/22 UTR Pro Tennis Series Atlanta | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
William Nolan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Arman Zamani M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/05 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Alfie King M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 03/05 | Georgios Nouchakis M25 Nottingham Qual |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Leo Raquillet M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/04 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 26/04 | Rupert George M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/04 | Timo Legout M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 14/04 | Bastian Malla M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Alexis Gurmendi M15 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Johannus Monday
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Keaton Hance M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Summers Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in William Nolan vs Johannus Monday?
Our model gives 73% to Johannus Monday, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.