Tennis · M25 Londrina · 06/08, 15:00
Prediction: Nicolas Oliveira vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Team pages: Nicolas Oliveira · Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Oliveira
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Oliveira
5-5 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolas Oliveira
0–1
Carlos Maria Zarate
(1 last)
- 06 Jun1-2 13-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Oliveira 1514 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1584
| Nicolas Oliveira | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1514 vs 1584).
- Head-to-head: Nicolas Oliveira 0–1 Carlos Maria Zarate (1).
- Note: Carlos Maria Zarate makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Nicolas Oliveira | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.2 | 13.2-10 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Nicolas Oliveira 0 – 1 Carlos Maria Zarate (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolas Oliveira 0–1 Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 M25 Cuiaba | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Oliveira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Andre Souza M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin A Vergara Del Puerto M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Alex Hernandez M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 13/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Salvador Price M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Francisco Fontes Damorim M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Bastian Malla M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Oliveira vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 65% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.