Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 05/08, 12:30
Prediction: Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidel
Team pages: Gabriela Knutson · Ella Seidel
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriela Knutson
Ella Seidel
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriela Knutson
5-5 (W-L)
Ella Seidel
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gabriela Knutson
1–0
Ella Seidel
(1 last)
- 22 Feb2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriela Knutson 1503 · Ella Seidel 1423
| Gabriela Knutson | Ella Seidel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriela Knutson (rating 1503 vs 1423).
- Head-to-head: Gabriela Knutson 1–0 Ella Seidel (1).
- Note: Gabriela Knutson makes many double faults (6.8/match).
- Note: Ella Seidel makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Gabriela Knutson | Ella Seidel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.4 | 8.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Gabriela Knutson 1 – 0 Ella Seidel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gabriela Knutson 1–0 Ella Seidel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/25 W75 Prague | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriela Knutson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Shuai Zhang WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Irem Kurt WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Han Shi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Martyna Kubka W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Ella Seidel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Dalma Galfi WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Greet Minnen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Claire Liu WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Jelena Ostapenko French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Emiliana Arango WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidel?
Our model gives 52% to Ella Seidel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.