Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 05/08, 12:30
Prediction: Elizara Yaneva vs Yue Yuan
Team pages: Elizara Yaneva · Yue Yuan
Prediction summary
Winner
Elizara Yaneva
Yue Yuan
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Elizara Yaneva
6-4 (W-L)
Yue Yuan
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elizara Yaneva 1517 · Yue Yuan 1444
| Elizara Yaneva | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elizara Yaneva (rating 1517 vs 1444).
- Elizara Yaneva is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Elizara Yaneva makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Elizara Yaneva | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.1 | 11.4-13.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 34.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elizara Yaneva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Federica Urgesi WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Sofya Lansere WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yuriko Lily Miyazaki Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Yue Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Alana Smith WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Aliona Falei WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/05 | Harriet Dart French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Mayar Sherif WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Simona Waltert WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/05 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elizara Yaneva vs Yue Yuan?
Our model gives 50% to Elizara Yaneva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.