Tennis · M15 Frankfurt · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Jan Sebesta vs Pierre Delage
Team pages: Pierre Delage
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Sebesta
Pierre Delage
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Sebesta
4-6 (W-L)
Pierre Delage
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Sebesta 1525 · Pierre Delage 1599
| Jan Sebesta | Pierre Delage | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierre Delage (rating 1525 vs 1599).
- Pierre Delage dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 46.4% break avg.
- Pierre Delage is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Jan Sebesta makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Pierre Delage makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Jan Sebesta | Pierre Delage | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.6 | 12.2-6.8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 81.2% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Sebesta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Tim Hohmann M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Jonas Keck M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Benoit Geldof M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Henry Bernet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Isac Stroemberg M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Simon Muntwyler M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Noah Schlagenhauf M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Jared Horwood M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 28/03 | James Quattro UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Pierre Delage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Maxime Chazal M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Theo Herrmann M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Davide Tortora M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Guglielmo Verdese M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Filippo Callerio M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Sebesta vs Pierre Delage?
Our model gives 75% to Pierre Delage, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.