Tennis · M15 Frankfurt · 07/08, 15:00

Prediction: Julien Penzlin vs Kirill Kivattsev

Team pages: Julien Penzlin · Kirill Kivattsev

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Julien Penzlin Kirill Kivattsev
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Julien Penzlin 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLWW
Kirill Kivattsev 6-4 (W-L)
LLWLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Julien Penzlin 1539 · Kirill Kivattsev 1508
Julien PenzlinKirill Kivattsev
Our model54%46%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Julien Penzlin makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Julien PenzlinKirill Kivattsev
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91.3-1.3
Games (G-P)12.6-10.612.5-11
Aces53
Double faults4.11.4
1st serve %73.3%67.7%
Break %33.9%45.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Julien Penzlin

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-7 W
04/08 Arthur Bonnaud
M15 Frankfurt
2-1 18-14 W
01/07 Lasse Poertner
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L
30/06 Giovanni Branchetti
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-1 11-9 W
26/06 Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
25/06 Sydney Zick
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-1 16-14 W
24/06 Sebastian Bozemoj
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
22/06 Ivar Krans
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
05/06 Vincent Marysko
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/06 Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Kirill Kivattsev

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Bengt Johan Reinhard
M15 Frankfurt
2-1 16-9 W
04/08 Carlos Giraldi
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Iannis Miletich
M25 Kassel
0-2 9-13 L
02/07 Kimmer Coppejans
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
01/07 Jelle Sels
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
30/06 Alessio Basile
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
24/06 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
16/06 Fausto Tabacco
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 16-15 L
13/06 Marat Sharipov
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
12/06 Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-1 13-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Julien Penzlin vs Kirill Kivattsev?

Our model gives 61% to Kirill Kivattsev, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.