Tennis · M15 Frankfurt · 05/08, 11:30
Prediction: Arian Barbic vs Martins Rocens
Team pages: Arian Barbic · Martins Rocens
Prediction summary
Winner
Arian Barbic
Martins Rocens
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Arian Barbic
2-8 (W-L)
Martins Rocens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arian Barbic 1416 · Martins Rocens 1482
| Arian Barbic | Martins Rocens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martins Rocens (rating 1416 vs 1482).
- Note: Martins Rocens makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Arian Barbic | Martins Rocens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 14% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-10.6 | 9-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 59.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arian Barbic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Giovanni Branchetti M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Jakub Filip M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | David Fix M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 02/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Antonio Voljavec M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Artem Khuda M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 12/05 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Martins Rocens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Emil Rast M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Thomas Miranda M25 Denia |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 08/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Przemyslaw Michocki M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Karim Al-Amin M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 03/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Laelson Rodrigues M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arian Barbic vs Martins Rocens?
Our model gives 57% to Martins Rocens, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.