Tennis · M15 Bielsko Biala · 05/08, 11:30

Prediction: Matteo Fondriest vs Jan Hrazdil

Team pages: Matteo Fondriest · Jan Hrazdil

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Matteo Fondriest Jan Hrazdil
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Fondriest 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLWWLLW
Jan Hrazdil 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLLWLL
Head-to-head
Matteo Fondriest 1–1 Jan Hrazdil (2 last)
  • 15 Jul2-1 15-14W
  • 17 Feb1-2 10-10L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matteo Fondriest 1499 · Jan Hrazdil 1410
Matteo FondriestJan Hrazdil
Our model63%37%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matteo Fondriest (rating 1499 vs 1410).
  • Matteo Fondriest is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Matteo FondriestJan Hrazdil
Win %50%10%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 14% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.5-1.8
Games (G-P)9.8-10.98.4-12.5
Aces2.32
Double faults3.53.9
1st serve %67.3%61.7%
Break %32.3%26.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

H2H · Matteo Fondriest 11 Jan Hrazdil (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Matteo Fondriest 11 Jan Hrazdil

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DateSetsGamesRes.
15/07/26
M15 Nova Gorica
2-115-14W
17/02/25
M25 Trento
1-210-10L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matteo Fondriest

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Oskar Grzegorzewski
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 12-4 W
16/07 Luca Castagnola
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Jan Hrazdil
M15 Nova Gorica
2-1 15-14 W
08/07 Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Kassel
1-2 12-18 L
07/07 Dennis Andre Dutine
M25 Kassel
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Ben Stecker
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
1-1 12-10 W
02/06 Alexander Weis
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
27/04 Aditya Vishal Balsekar
Challenger Abidjan · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
21/04 Matt Kuhar
Challenger Abidjan · Hard
1-2 10-18 L
19/04 Jean Paul Kadangah Kili
Challenger Abidjan · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Jan Hrazdil

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Tiago Pereira
M25 Koszalin
0-2 3-12 L
22/07 Tomas Lanik
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 2-12 L
15/07 Matteo Fondriest
M15 Nova Gorica
1-2 14-15 L
23/06 Niklas Guttau
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
16/06 Tudor Batin
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/06 Rudolf Molleker
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
08/06 Martin Doskocil
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
03/06 Piotr Galus
M15 Szentendre · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Luca Staeheli
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
19/05 Johan Oscar Lien
M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matteo Fondriest vs Jan Hrazdil?

Our model gives 54% to Matteo Fondriest, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.