Tennis · M15 Bielsko Biala · 06/08, 11:30
Prediction: Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner
Team pages: Marcel Zielinski · Alexander Wagner
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcel Zielinski
Alexander Wagner
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Marcel Zielinski
7-3 (W-L)
Alexander Wagner
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcel Zielinski 1520 · Alexander Wagner 1489
| Marcel Zielinski | Alexander Wagner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marcel Zielinski | Alexander Wagner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.5 | 12.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcel Zielinski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Daniel Michalski M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Jan Sadzik M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Jakub Jedrzejczak M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Matt Ponchet Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Kacper Knitter Polish National Championships |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Kacper Szymkowiak Polish National Championships |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 6-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Alexander Wagner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Vitek Horak M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 23/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Matyas Fuele M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Patrik Meszaros M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexandr Tiutchenko M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Marton Liszka M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner?
Our model gives 67% to Marcel Zielinski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.