Tennis · M15 Bielsko Biala · 05/08, 13:00
Prediction: Marcel Zielinski vs Gabriele Vulpitta
Team pages: Marcel Zielinski · Gabriele Vulpitta
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcel Zielinski
Gabriele Vulpitta
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marcel Zielinski
7-3 (W-L)
Gabriele Vulpitta
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcel Zielinski 1537 · Gabriele Vulpitta 1545
| Marcel Zielinski | Gabriele Vulpitta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marcel Zielinski | Gabriele Vulpitta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.5 | 10-8.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcel Zielinski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Daniel Michalski M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Jan Sadzik M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Jakub Jedrzejczak M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Matt Ponchet Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Kacper Knitter Polish National Championships |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Kacper Szymkowiak Polish National Championships |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 6-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Gabriele Vulpitta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Szymon Karpinski M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Pierluigi Basile M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Heremana Courte M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Miguel Simao M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 02/06 | Jakub Kroslak M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcel Zielinski vs Gabriele Vulpitta?
Our model gives 62% to Marcel Zielinski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.