Tennis · M15 Bielsko Biala · 05/08, 11:30
Prediction: Juliusz Bienkiewicz vs Wojciech Marek
Team pages: Juliusz Bienkiewicz · Wojciech Marek
Prediction summary
Winner
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Wojciech Marek
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
3-7 (W-L)
Wojciech Marek
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juliusz Bienkiewicz 1505 · Wojciech Marek 1551
| Juliusz Bienkiewicz | Wojciech Marek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wojciech Marek (rating 1505 vs 1551).
- Juliusz Bienkiewicz dominates on serve: 7 aces and 41.5% break avg.
- Wojciech Marek dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 40.5% break avg.
- Note: Juliusz Bienkiewicz makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Juliusz Bienkiewicz | Wojciech Marek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Carpet | 50% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.6 | 10.2-8 |
| Aces | 7 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 69% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/03 | Nicola Ion UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/03 | James McGloughlin UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/03 | Aaron Gil Garcia UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 06/03 | Felix Einig UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/03 | Sam Bakker UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 03/03 | Twan Van Zijl UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Peter Fajta UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/02 | Stijn Pel M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Wojciech Marek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Petr Michnev M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Daniel Michalski M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Filip Kosinski M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Borys Zgola M25 Koszalin |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Andreas Loizas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Deni Zmak UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/03 | Peter Goldsteiner UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/03 | Alex Solonenko UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/03 | Dominik Matic UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/03 | Nikita Mashtakov UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juliusz Bienkiewicz vs Wojciech Marek?
Our model gives 66% to Wojciech Marek, using surface Elo on carpet.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (carpet) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.