Tennis · M15 Bielsko Biala · 05/08, 13:00

Prediction: Niklas Guttau vs Alexander Gschiel

Team pages: Niklas Guttau · Alexander Gschiel

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Niklas Guttau Alexander Gschiel
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Niklas Guttau 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWWW
Alexander Gschiel 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Niklas Guttau 1558 · Alexander Gschiel 1439
Niklas GuttauAlexander Gschiel
Our model66%34%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niklas Guttau (rating 1558 vs 1439).
  • Niklas Guttau is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Niklas GuttauAlexander Gschiel
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.60.8-1.5
Games (G-P)10.2-7.510.1-10.6
Aces1.53.1
Double faults1.61.8
1st serve %64.5%64.9%
Break %62.9%42.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Niklas Guttau

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/07 Tom Zeuch
M25 Koszalin
2-0 12-4 W
30/07 Oriol Roca Batalla
M25 Koszalin
2-0 13-9 W
28/07 Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 Koszalin
2-0 8-2 W
16/07 Lasse Poertner
M15 Uslar
0-2 5-9 L
15/07 Aryan Shah
M15 Uslar
2-0 13-6 W
09/07 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Lodz
0-2 7-12 L
07/07 Michael Savano
M15 Lodz
2-0 13-7 W
26/06 Kacper Szymkowiak
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Jim Hendrikx
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
23/06 Jan Hrazdil
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Alexander Gschiel

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Jakub Krawczyk
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 12-3 W
29/07 Marcello Serafini
M15 Wels
1-2 17-19 L
22/07 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 12-14 L
16/07 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 9-13 L
15/07 Nicolo Toffanin
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-3 W
14/07 Lorenzo Berto
M15 Nova Gorica
2-1 10-9 W
17/06 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
05/05 Pranav Karthik
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
28/04 Mattias Southcombe
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 11-9 L
21/04 Yassine Smiej
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Niklas Guttau vs Alexander Gschiel?

Our model gives 72% to Niklas Guttau, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.