Tennis · WTA Warsaw · 05/08, 11:00
Prediction: Katarzyna Kawa vs Justina Mikulskyte
Team pages: Katarzyna Kawa · Justina Mikulskyte
Prediction summary
Winner
Katarzyna Kawa
Justina Mikulskyte
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Katarzyna Kawa
5-5 (W-L)
Justina Mikulskyte
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katarzyna Kawa 1504 · Justina Mikulskyte 1538
| Katarzyna Kawa | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Katarzyna Kawa makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Justina Mikulskyte makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Katarzyna Kawa | Justina Mikulskyte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.5 | 10.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katarzyna Kawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Susan Bandecchi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Justina Mikulskyte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Weronika Ewald WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Michaela Bayerlova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Valeria Savinykh W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Maria Golovina W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Liv Boulard W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katarzyna Kawa vs Justina Mikulskyte?
Our model gives 61% to Katarzyna Kawa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.