Tennis · M15 Curtea de Arges · 05/08, 10:30

Prediction: Giovanni Ciocca vs Fermin Tenti

Team pages: Giovanni Ciocca · Fermin Tenti

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Giovanni Ciocca Fermin Tenti
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Ciocca 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLLW
Fermin Tenti 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giovanni Ciocca 1463 · Fermin Tenti 1515
Giovanni CioccaFermin Tenti
Our model43%57%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fermin Tenti (rating 1463 vs 1515).

Statistics

Giovanni CioccaFermin Tenti
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 100% (1) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.2-1.2
Games (G-P)8.6-10.410.1-10.8
Aces0.31.1
Double faults2.71.4
1st serve %55.1%58.1%
Break %50.6%37.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giovanni Ciocca

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Jose Murariu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Preston Brown
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
13/07 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
08/07 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
13/05 Udit Kamboj
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 10-14 L
11/05 James Hart
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/05 Tom Zeuch
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
06/05 Stefan Storch
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-1 15-14 W
04/05 Patrick Jozwicki
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Fermin Tenti

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 5-12 L
16/07 Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 10-5 W
14/07 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-1 16-15 W
07/07 Nicolas Mejia
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/07 Conner Huertas Del Pino
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
05/07 Peter Bertran
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
29/06 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
28/06 Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
06/05 Nick Hardt
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
05/05 Nicolas Villalon
Challenger Santos · Clay
2-1 16-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giovanni Ciocca vs Fermin Tenti?

Our model gives 74% to Fermin Tenti, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.