Tennis · M15 Curtea de Arges · 06/08, 12:00
Prediction: Filiberto Fumagalli vs Odysseas Geladaris
Team pages: Filiberto Fumagalli · Odysseas Geladaris
Prediction summary
Winner
Filiberto Fumagalli
Odysseas Geladaris
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Filiberto Fumagalli
6-4 (W-L)
Odysseas Geladaris
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filiberto Fumagalli 1548 · Odysseas Geladaris 1496
| Filiberto Fumagalli | Odysseas Geladaris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filiberto Fumagalli (rating 1548 vs 1496).
- Filiberto Fumagalli is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Odysseas Geladaris makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Filiberto Fumagalli | Odysseas Geladaris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-7.2 | 10.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 54.6% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filiberto Fumagalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Yuto Oki M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Calin Teodor Stirbu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 17/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Mak Mikovic M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Balducci M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Odysseas Geladaris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Ioannis Kountourakis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Mateusz Miton UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/06 | George Chaidemenos UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/06 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Benjamin Thomas George M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Daniel Siniakov M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/11 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filiberto Fumagalli vs Odysseas Geladaris?
Our model gives 71% to Filiberto Fumagalli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.