Tennis · M25 Southaven · 04/08, 19:00
Prediction: Maxwell Exsted vs Quinn Vandecasteele
Team pages: Maxwell Exsted · Quinn Vandecasteele
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxwell Exsted
Quinn Vandecasteele
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maxwell Exsted
4-6 (W-L)
Quinn Vandecasteele
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxwell Exsted 1513 · Quinn Vandecasteele 1478
| Maxwell Exsted | Quinn Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Quinn Vandecasteele dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 46.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Maxwell Exsted | Quinn Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.3 | 11.6-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxwell Exsted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Samir Banerjee M25 Edwardsville |
1-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Benjamin Berger M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Claverie M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Matt Kuhar M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Theodore Dean M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Tanishk Konduri M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Quinn Vandecasteele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 07/07 | James Trotter Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxwell Exsted vs Quinn Vandecasteele?
Our model gives 63% to Quinn Vandecasteele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.