Tennis · M25 Southaven · 04/08, 19:00

Prediction: Naoya Honda vs Ryan Dickerson

Team pages: Naoya Honda · Ryan Dickerson

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Naoya Honda Ryan Dickerson
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Naoya Honda 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWWWLL
Ryan Dickerson 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Naoya Honda 1514 · Ryan Dickerson 1475
Naoya HondaRyan Dickerson
Our model56%44%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ryan Dickerson makes many double faults (8.4/match).

Statistics

Naoya HondaRyan Dickerson
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11-1.3
Games (G-P)11.3-11.49.9-11.3
Aces4.82.9
Double faults38.4
1st serve %72.7%70.4%
Break %28.9%40.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naoya Honda

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Keaton Hance
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 6-12 L
26/07 Evan Bynoe
M25 Champaign
0-2 8-13 L
25/07 William Jansen
M25 Champaign
2-0 14-12 W
24/07 Nikita Filin
M25 Champaign
2-0 13-9 W
23/07 Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Champaign
2-0 12-8 W
22/07 Jack Satterfield
M25 Champaign
2-1 18-14 W
09/07 Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 9-16 L
08/07 Kazushi Idogaki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/07 Sora Fukuda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
19/06 Hunter Heck
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Ryan Dickerson

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Mauricio Echazu
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
09/06 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
13/05 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
11/05 Juan Ignacio Gallego
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
07/05 Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/05 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Santos · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
01/05 Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 16-17 L
30/04 Victor Bini
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
29/04 Angel Veliz
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
24/04 Fernando Cavallo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naoya Honda vs Ryan Dickerson?

Our model gives 58% to Naoya Honda, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.