Tennis · M25 Southaven · 04/08, 19:00
Prediction: Alexander Frusina vs Felix Corwin
Team pages: Alexander Frusina
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Frusina
Felix Corwin
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Frusina
7-3 (W-L)
Felix Corwin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Frusina 1556 · Felix Corwin 1466
| Alexander Frusina | Felix Corwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Frusina (rating 1556 vs 1466).
- Alexander Frusina is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Felix Corwin makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Frusina | Felix Corwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.6 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-7.3 | 11.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Frusina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | William Jansen M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Ryan Colby M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Jon Gamble M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Xavier Calvelo M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Ali Habib M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Felix Corwin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04 | Cannon Kingsley M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 23/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Safir Azam M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Ronit Karki Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/03 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/03 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Morelos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/03 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Sherbrooke |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/03 | Adam Faragcao M15 Sherbrooke |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 11/02 | Raphael Perot Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Frusina vs Felix Corwin?
Our model gives 60% to Alexander Frusina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.